Nkurunziza in Burundi

Q124: Before the end of 2015, will President Pierre Nkurunziza leave the office of presidency of Burundi?
Yes: 35%

There has been recent unrest in the Central African nation of Burundi recently, due to President Nkurunziza's decision to seek a third term (see Wikipedia article here).   There have been widespread protests against the President, and a failed coup attempt.  An election is scheduled for June.

My sense is that Nkurunziza will probably manage to remain in office.  He has already beaten off a coup attempt, which will probably discourage future coups.  He will likely win the election, fairly or unfairly.  Still, the unrest does signal a higher risk to him than normal.