Rob Nicholson Retirement

Q139: Will Rob Nicholson contest the next federal election?
Yes: 15%
(Rob Nicholson must run as a Conservative MP, but not necessarily in his current riding of Niagara Falls)

A number of prominent federal Conservative cabinet ministers, including John Baird and Peter MacKay, have decided to retire from federal politics before the next federal election.  Rob Nicholson, currently the Minister of Foreign Affairs, might also decide to retire from federal politics.  First elected as an MP in 1984 (although with a break in the 90s), he is currently 63.

I am not aware of any specific rumour suggesting Nicholson's retirement, but it seems like something that could happen.  However, if Nicholson were to not contest the next election, he probably would have announced it by now.  I am thus giving a relatively low forecast.