- Q6 (Palestine ICC) has resolved as yes because Palestine officially joined the ICC as of April 1st. I said this had a 85% chance of happening. In hindsight, this might have actually been too low.
- Q14 (Balanced Budget 2015) has resolved as yes, because the Conservatives have proposed a balanced budget for 2015-2016. I said this had a 75% chance of happening, which again might have been too low.
- Q16 (TFSA Expansion) has resolved for yes, as the latest budget expands the annual TFSA contribution limit. I said this had a 75% chance of happening.
- Q20 (SC Extradition Appeal) has resolved for no, as the Supreme Court has allowed the extradition of Anthony Barnaby and David Caplin. I said this had a 65% chance of happening.
- Q28 (SC mandatory minimum sentences) has resolved for yes, as the Supreme Court has struck down mandatory minimum sentences for drug crimes. I said this had a 70% chance of happening.
- Q71 (Boko Haram Gwoza) has resolved for yes, as the Boko Haram has been driven out of Gwoza. I said this had a 35% chance of happening.
- Q77 (Beer and Wine Sales) has resolved for yes, as the Ontario government has announced that beer and wine sales will be allowed at some grocery stores. I said this had a 85% chance of happening, which might have been too low; the initial reports were completely correct.
- Q78 (Hydro One Sale) has resolved for yes, as the Ontario government has announced that the partial sale of Hydro One. I said this had a 75% chance of happening, which again might have been low.
This was a pretty good month for my forecasts, partly because many of them were of the "will this leaked/previously announced policy be officially announced?" Q14, Q16, Q77, and Q78 were definitely in that category, and Q6 was edging into that category as well.
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