Q138: Before the next federal election, will Stephen Harper announce that he will retire as Prime Minister before the following (scheduled date 2019) federal election?
Yes: 35%
(If Stephen Harper leaves (or announces he will leave) before the federal election this year, that also counts. However, a conditional promise (such as "I will leave if I don't win a majority") would not count. What Stephen Harper actually does after the next federal election does not matter for this question)
There has been some speculation that Stephen Harper might announce that his next term in office will be his final term (see article here). David Cameron, the UK PM, apparently did so with some success. I think that this sort of announcement is quite possible, but probably less likely than not. It seems quite unlikely that Stephen Harper will even contest the election after next in any case, so this announcement would not really convey that much.
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