Ottawa Cabinet Ministers

How many senior cabinet ministers from Ottawa will the next federal cabinet contain?
None: 10%
One: 65%
Two: 15%
More than Two: 10%

(Ministers of State, Parliamentary Secretaries, and Associate Ministers don't count as senior cabinet positions.  Ottawa cabinet ministers are MPs from ridings that intersect the City of Ottawa)

Andrew Leslie is seen as a very likely senior cabinet minister.  Catherine McKenna, Karen McCrimmon, and David McGuinty seem to be other possible cabinet ministers.  In terms of regional parity, Ottawa has about 2.5% of seats nationwide, corresponding to about 60% of a seat in a 24-seat cabinet, and about 4% of Liberal seats, corresponding to about one seat in a 24-seat cabinet.  It seems very likely to me that Ottawa will have one senior minister (probably Andrew Leslie), although it could have more than that.