- US Congress Iran Deal has resolved for Do Nothing (the Democrats were able to block Congress from rejecting the deal). I gave 25% odds of this happening.
- The Ottawa Airport Taxi Strike did not end before the end of September. I only gave 20% odds for the strike lasting that long. I still think it is surprising that the strike has lasted as long as it has.
- A Capital Taxi Agreement was reached in September. I gave a 35% chance to an agreement being reached in September, and a 80% chance to an agreement being reached before the end of September. Those odds seem reasonable, although (in combination with the last question), I might have been a bit too optimistic about how quickly an agreement could be reached.
- The Bank of Canada Interest rate was left unchanged in October (see my post Canada Interest Rate October). This was no surprise; I gave "no change" 80% odds.
- The proposed Fission Merger was rejected by shareholders. I gave 60% odds to this outcome, and may have been slightly under-confident.
Tuesday, 10 November 2015
Questions Resolved in October: Other
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Post-Mortem
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