When will Salah Abdeslam be apprehended by the authorities?
Before December 5th: 30%
Between December 5th and the end of December: 30%
Not before the end of December: 40%
(If Salah Abdeslam dies, that counts as a apprehension, as long as the authorities are in possession of his body. This question will be based on local time in the country of apprehension)
Salah Abdeslam is a key suspect in the November 13th Paris attacks (see article here). A manhunt for him in Belgium seems to have failed to find him so far, and the authorities do not seem terribly close to finding him. I think the most likely outcome is that he will not be found before the end of the year, but it is possible that he could be found in the next week, or later in December.
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